General Lucas.
BE
13
SCALET
HONG KONG A.R.P.
I have studied this, and without attempting a comprehensive
commentary, set out some points which occur to me.
(1) Questions of expense I must leave entirely apart, since I have no
information what you can get for your money in Hong Kong. The highest
mentioned
priced unit is
is the $15 tunnel or trench: you don't get much for 18s./9d. in
this country: so that, whatever values are in Hong Kong, it must I think be
a primitive form of defence. Equally, we have no knowledge as to the materials readily available.
(2) Dispersal, if it carries the citizens out of the bombed zone, is of
course a first rate remedy. Experience in London shows that, although
there are many targets, nevertheless intensity of bombing drops as you
proceed outwards radially from London Bridge. Casualties occur in strict
proportion to the weight of bombing multiplied by the density of the
population, so that if density can be increased where bombing is less in-
tense and be decreased where it is most so, casualties must be saved.
grade shelter in dense areas near to the probable focus of bombing is a
doubtful proposition. Hong Kong probably has its equivalent of London
Bridge.
disintegrated
Low
(3) The description "Concrete pens" does not give much of an idea of what
is meant. Our experience is that overground structures have weaknesses
which are not apparent.
by earth
transmitted shock and the roof slabs brought down on the occupants unless
the roofs are well tied to the walls.
Their walls are liable to be
Surface or near surface trenches are similarly vulnerable to lateral
crushing from earth movement from bombs at considerable distances.
Experience of shelling gives no conception of the magnitude of thes
movement. There have been heavy casualties amongst service personnel
ductile
(stul or sheltering in such trenches. A lining of some flexible substance is
important: precast units make bad linings.
RIC.)
(4)
One important fact should not be lost sight of. If active defence is
successful, day raiding may, as in 1940 in the United Kingdom, become too
costly, so that night bombing may be adopted.
Given serious and frequent
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